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ECOLE SUPÉRIEURE D'ÉLECTRICITÉ Une grande école d'ingénieurs au cœur des sciences de l'information,de l'énergie et des systèmes |
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Conference papers
Uncertainty analysis of a model of an energy distribution system with solar panel generation by Time-Varying Data Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Fuzzy Interval Analysis
Abstract : The uncertainties in the model of an energy distribution system made of a solar panel, a storage energy system and loads (power demanded by the end-users) are investigated, treating the epistemic variables as possibilistic and the aleatory ones as probabilistic. In particular, time-varying probabilistic distributions of the solar irradiation and the power demanded by the end-users is inferred from historical data. Then a computational framework for the joint propagation of both types of uncertainty is applied through the model of the energy distribution system to compute the Expected Energy Not Supplied.
Cited literature [16 references]
https://hal-supelec.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00838660
Contributor : Yanfu Li <>
Submitted on : Wednesday, June 26, 2013 - 11:15:07 AM
Last modification on : Monday, December 14, 2020 - 12:28:46 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Friday, September 27, 2013 - 4:06:05 AM
Contributor : Yanfu Li <>
Submitted on : Wednesday, June 26, 2013 - 11:15:07 AM
Last modification on : Monday, December 14, 2020 - 12:28:46 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Friday, September 27, 2013 - 4:06:05 AM
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feruao_full_paper.pdf
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